environment: assholes denialism idiots scientific literacy
by Warren
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Year 2, Month 2, Day 3: Who Needs Experts When We Can Just Look Out The Window?
The Vancouver Times-Colonist points out that winter storms don’t disprove climate change. Since the headline (“Winter storms don’t undermine global warming science, climate experts say”) includes the phrase “experts say,” I am confidently expecting a barrage of “why would we trust them damn experts” comments, but I may be disappointed. Actually I couldn’t see any comments at all; perhaps the Times-Colonist doesn’t allow them? Anyway, rather than mock the deniers, I’m trying to be diagnostic.
Those who deny the existence of global climate change are caught in several all-too-human problems. One is the question of timescale; climatic shifts, while accelerating rapidly due to the greenhouse effect, are still too slow for most people to perceive (and by the time they’re happening fast enough for us to notice, it’ll be too late to do anything about it). Then there’s our inability to grasp the statistics of probability (since global warming doesn’t cause any single storm, flood, drought or weather event, but makes such events more likely everywhere). This innumeracy is part and parcel of the larger crisis of scientific ignorance; how can we understand all the crazy weather we’re having unless we know enough chemistry and physics to figure out how evaporation works? And finally, of course, is the sad fact that we in the developed world consider abandoning our conveniences a fate worse than death.
Warren Senders
If Complexion Is Insufficiently Wheatish, Just Adjust Your Monitor
Well. This is truly weird.
New Delhi: Indian bachelors keen to get a taste of married life can now log on and apply for a virtual wife online in a scheme that offers a glimpse into changing Indian society.
Bharat Matrimony’s biwihotohaisi.com (an ideal wife) website allows men to choose from four different types of wife and then receive automated telephone messages from them that reflect their character.
This is a truly obnoxious website that includes some pretty dumb sounding autoplay sound effects, and an entry screen that looks like this:

The Deccan Chronicle describes the four “virtual wives” offered to interested men, beginning with two fairly “traditional” types who embody conservative cultural values, before moving on:
While these two characters would be clearly identifiable for men of older generations, it is the other women who offer the most revealing insights into the changing characteristics of modern Indian womanhood.
Milli Chulbulli (Milli Naughty), 21, is an excitable secretary in a multinational firm with a life that revolves around shopping trips, neighbourhood gossip, and an addiction to television soap operas.
Finally, the website offers a chance to hook up with Shalini Sheherwali (Shalini From the City), an ambitious 26-year-old banker.
An independent, tech-savvy woman who purrs, ‘we’ll totally connect, honey!’, Shalini Sheherwali loves shopping online and loathes soap operas.
What I want to know is whether Bharat Matrimony is planning on offering “virtual husbands” any time soon…and if so, what stereotypes they’re going to, um, embody.
Suggestions?
environment: Ban ki-Moon United Nations unpredictable weather events
by Warren
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Year 2, Month 2, Day 2: The Future Is Here Already
The Khaleej Times is a news organization based in the UAE. They ran a version of the AP story on Ban Ki-moon’s changed approach; the same day their headline noted a “sudden storm” that “played havoc” in the northern part of the country. A nice connection that worked pretty well in this letter.
It is a sad irony: on the day that U.N. Secretary General Ban Ki-moon is reported to be “shifting focus” in the fight against climate change, the lead story in the Khaleej Times is headed, “Sudden storm plays havoc in the Northern Emirates.” A post-global-warming atmosphere will feature quite a few such sudden and extreme weather events, which can confidently be expected to wreak havoc wherever they show up. “Once-in-a-century” floods will come every decade; weather patterns that have been consistent and dependable for countless generations are going to go steadily more awry. As weather predictions become ever more unreliable, the only things to remain certain will be agricultural disruption and infrastructural destruction. It is to be hoped that Ban Ki-moon’s focus on sustainable economic development will provide effective motivations for the world’s biggest greenhouse emitters to change their ways, since “saving the world” didn’t seem to do the trick.
Warren Senders
environment humor: hatemail idiots
by Warren
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I get mail

Arrived in my inbox about an hour ago.
It’s not anywhere close to the stuff that a genuine luminary like PZ gets, of course, but I get a little warm feeling all the same.
environment: climate change media irresponsibility
by Warren
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It’s Snowing In America…Time To Shovel Some $#!T
Up here in Massachusetts, we’re getting pounded with massive snow. My city’s police department has instituted a snow emergency to remain in effect “until further notice.” Even the hardened municipal workers are overwhelmed, and schools are shut down all over the place.
And Ma Nature is just getting started. It looks like the Midwest is next in line:
“The storm may very well impact a third of the population of the United States — approximately 100 million people,” said meteorologist Tim Ballisty of The Weather Channel.
One-third of the population. Gee, that’s a lot.
But I’m not writing this to announce the fact that it’s snowing outside. This post is about action.
All over the United States, newspapers and broadcast outlets are running stories about the snowstorms — either the ones we’ve just had, the ones we’re having, or the ones that are headed straight for us.
And you know what? The phrase “climate change” appears pretty much nowhere in any of these reports.
Now, compared with the terrifying cyclone that’s aimed at Australia, or the catastrophic flooding that brought Pakistan to its knees, a few gigatonnes of snow is fairly benign. As long as you’ve got milk, bread, electricity, gas, oil, heat, running water and civilizational infrastructure, you’ll probably be okay.
But the fact is that climate change is the rhinoceros in the living room in all these stories about how people are coping with the snow — and our media establishment is absolutely determined to ignore that damned rhino for as long as possible.
So here’s what I’d like you to do.
Do a search on a phrase like “snowstorm news.” Like this one.
Find a media outlet that’s running a story. At 6:23 EST there were something like 2700 pieces in current news, so that won’t be hard.
Check to be sure that, true to form, the piece doesn’t mention climate change or global warming.
Find the contact information, and have some fun with the “mad-lib” below.
————————————————————————————————————
“As we _________________________________
(prepare for)
(watch)
(mop up after)
(breathe a sigh of relief that we weren’t affected by)the _________________________________
(amazing)
(devastating)
(overwhelming)
(beautiful but scary)snowstorm, it is easy to think of it as _________________________________.
(an isolated phenomenon)
(an anomalous event)
(a local story)
(something that is happening to other people)But these weather events are connected to a larger story, one that includes _________________________________, _________________________________ and _________________________________
(storms)
(heat waves)
(floods)
(droughts)
(wildfires)
(freak weather)all over the world.
While no single weather event is “caused” by _________________________________,
(global warming)
(anthropogenic climate change)
(atmospheric heating)
(the greenhouse effect)
(CO2 emissions)the fact is that climate scientists have been predicting for decades that increased atmospheric temperatures will trigger increases in unusual weather. Despite being _________________________________,
(mocked)
(ignored)
(ridiculed)
(threatened by tea-baggers)it looks as if they’ve been right all along.
If we as a nation are to __________________________
(survive,)
(undertake meaningful action on behalf of the planetary systems that sustain us,)
(build a future for our children and their children in turn,)
(live long and prosper,)
(avoid species extinction, which the biologist Frank Fenner thinks is all but inevitable at this point,)we must ____________________________
(face the facts.)
(use our mentality, wake up to reality.)
(know what’s going on.)
(restore the Jeffersonian ideal of a “well-informed citizenry.”)
(abandon the damaging reliance on false equivalence in our journalism.)
The fact that the phrase “climate change” does not appear at all in this article is ___________________________________
(an unfortunate abdication of journalistic responsibility.)
(an indication of moral bankruptcy on the part of your hopelessly corrupt publisher.)
(a demonstration of how poorly our news media handle the most important threat humanity has ever faced.)
(a fucking outrage!)So there!
Yours Sincerely,(You)”
————————————————————————————————————
Thus, this letter:
“As we mop up after the overwhelming snowstorm, it is easy to think of it as a local story. But these weather events are connected to a larger story, one that includes storms, droughts and freak weather all over the world. While no single weather event is “caused” by anthropogenic climate change, the fact is that climate scientists have been predicting for decades that increased atmospheric temperatures will trigger increases in unusual weather. Despite being threatened by tea-baggers, it looks as if they’ve been right all along.
If we as a nation are to build a future for our children and their children in turn, we must use our mentality, wake up to reality. The fact that the phrase “climate change” does not appear at all in this article is a demonstration of how poorly our news media handle the most important threat humanity has ever faced.”
Signed…
clocks in at under 150 words, the maximum allowed by the NYT. Many other papers use 200 or even 250, so you can have more room to play.
Of course they won’t print it. That’s not the point. The point is that they need to be called out on their irresponsibility, and the more feedback they get calling them out, the harder it will be for them to do it again.
We may be doomed but I’m damned if I’m going to go silently.
You?
environment Politics: Ban ki-Moon Cancun copenhagen green economics sustainability
by Warren
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Year 2, Month 2, Day 1: Stupidity Rhymes With Cupidity
Ban Ki-moon is going to change his focus to “green economics” in the wake of repeated failures to get the world’s biggest contributors to the greenhouse effect to behave responsibly toward their neighbors.
The Guardian (UK):
Ban Ki-moon, the United Nations secretary general who made global warming his personal mission, is ending his hands-on involvement with international climate change negotiations, the Guardian has learned.
In a strategic shift, Ban will redirect his efforts from trying to encourage movement in the international climate change negotiations to a broader agenda of promoting clean energy and sustainable development, senior UN officials said.
The officials said the change in focus reflected Ban’s realisation, after his deep involvement with the failed Copenhagen summit in 2009, that world leaders are not prepared to come together in a sweeping agreement on global warming – at least not for the next few years.
My letter to the Guardian:
One can only imagine Ban Ki-moon’s deep disappointment at the failure of the world’s nations to make any meaningful progress on combating climate change over the past several years. The climatological evidence for anthropogenic global warming has accumulated at dizzying rates; scientific consensus on the threat humanity confronts is essentially universal, if you subtract a few petroleum-funded naysayers from the mix. And yet some of the world’s largest countries seem politically paralyzed, unable to do anything in the face of this slow-motion disaster (although there is ample indication that its pace is quickening faster than most experts ever imagined possible).
Perhaps the new focus on “green growth” will succeed where a plea for human survival has failed; perhaps an appeal to our economic motivations will motivate our leaders to do the right thing, albeit for the wrong reasons. And our descendants, if descendants there be, will remember that our generation knew — but chose to ignore.
Warren Senders
India Indian music Jazz music Personal: ektaal form musical conception
by Warren
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Some Thoughts on Rhythmic Cycles and Form
In late 1994 I was invited to give a lecture-demonstration on “world music” to a local cultural society in Pune. I talked about the similarities and differences in structure, conception and aesthetic values between, principally, Hindustani music, Ghanaian music and Jazz (since these are the musics I know best and love most); Vijaya and I demonstrated some ideas and patterns from these idioms, and I played a lot of examples from our collection.
For instance, I wanted to demonstrate how a jazz standard is used as the starting point for improvisation — so Vijaya sang “Body and Soul,” accompanying herself on guitar, and then played Coleman Hawkins’ version, which seemed to go over big.
Lecture-demonstrations are hard to predict, and the fellow who’d arranged this one had invited quite a few of his Hindustani rasika friends. For the most part they listened carefully, nodding appreciatively and making sage remarks sotto voce during our singing. Toward the end of the two-hour program, I started taking questions, and P______ B_______, an elderly vocalist, stood up. His question went more or less like this:
“All of these examples you have played us, they are all in medium or fast speed. Isn’t it true that only in Hindustani music do we have the vilambit tempo?”
This was another manifestation of the “only in India” concept, and as with all such, an answer requires considerable care in order to avoid either error or offense.
I asked him: “When you listen to a khyal in vilambit ektaal, do you actually count beats so slowly? One every five seconds?”
Immediately there was a corrective tumult. Nobody, it seemed, wanted me to believe that they really felt a pulse that glacial; several people fell over themselves in their eagerness to disabuse me of my misunderstanding, and began reciting the rhythm syllables of a vilambit cycle, showing me its internal subdivisions.:
Audience members: “No, no! Of course not — each beat has divisions, like te — re — ke — ta —…”
Warren: “So in vilambit ektaal, each beat is actually a larger unit, not a pulse you actually feel?”
Everybody agreed that this was so.
Warren: “So, a vilambit ektaal cycle is basically a kind of framework that forces the singer to organize his ideas in time, and fit his improvisation to the structure?”
Audience members: “Yes, yes, exactly!”
Warren: “But somebody who knew nothing of Indian music could listen to a vilambit ektaal piece, hearing only the subdivisions, and might not understand how the larger structure is outlined?”
Also yes.
Warren: “This is exactly what happens when you listen to our jazz pieces. In much music of the jazz tradition, there is a basic laya, which moves at a comfortable tempo and is maintained by the drums — and there is another rhythm, which moves much more slowly, and is maintained by the piano by changing harmonies according to a preset structure. Because you are used to hearing the large structure played by the tabla, you find it difficult to understand a large structure outlined by a totally different instrument.”
Well, the dialogue went on and on, and I’m not sure if I convinced anybody. After all, they sure didn’t hear any large structure in Hawk’s “Body and Soul!”
But the point I’m getting at is that all musical cultures have some way of organizing their performances in larger time-frameworks, and that we won’t find them by looking (or listening) where they’re not. Both khyal singing and traditional jazz of Hawkins’ ilk rely constantly on large-scale structures; the first articulated by tabla, and called the tala, the second articulated by piano, guitar or other harmonic instrument, and called, well, “the form.” Western musicians have adopted the generic term “form” to denote any structural constructs which guide a performance over time: “Repeat the first four bars of the A section under the sax solo, but play the bridge straight through” is a statement of form, as is “When the minuet begins, let’s remember to keep the tempo steady until we begin the decelerando at bar 37,” as is “Hey, let’s have a couple of choruses of guitar solo!”
In singing a khyal, by contrast, the form is the rhythm, writ large. Note the following example, and note it well, for it embodies a crucial principle:
Ektaal is a pattern of strokes played on the tabla; the same strokes, played in the same order, over and over and over. In fast and medium tempi, ektaal is a pleasant 6-beat or 12-beat groove, very catchy, easy to follow, each beat perhaps a third or quarter of a second; I just listened to a performance of madhya (medium) ektaal in which each complete rhythmic pattern took around four seconds to complete. When it’s performed in vilambit, however, ektaal’s drum strokes now occur once every four or five seconds — each cycle taking perhaps just under a minute!
A groove slowed down by a factor of twenty becomes an important form for improvisation in khyal. Now that’s an expansion of time!
environment: assholes denialists idiots Occam's Razor
by Warren
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Year 2, Month 1, Day 31: A Taxonomy of Stupid
In the Missourian, David Rosman takes on the people who hold up recent heavy snowfalls as proof that climate change is nonexistent. It’s a good piece, and triggered a somewhat longer response than usual. As far as I could make out, the paper has no length limits on LTEs, so I’m up around 200 or so. This was a fun piece to write.
Climate change deniers have many fascinating ways to avoid confronting reality. A few hew to a form of Biblical literalism in which humans can’t possibly affect our global environment because — well, because God won’t allow it. Others make the argument from personal incredulity: “global warming isn’t happening because I don’t understand how it works.” A closely related approach is the argument from apparent contradiction: if it’s snowing in your neighborhood, then global warming is disproved. While the latter two arguments may be consistent intellectual stances, ignorance, as Scott Adams’ “Dilbert” once said, is not a point of view. And then there are the truly convoluted theories — avaricious scientists forming a worldwide conspiracy headed by Al Gore (or, as Limbaugh’s minions prefer, “algore”) in which every bike path, public transport system and solar panel is a step on the road to a Socialist New World Order. Next up? Compulsory Carbon Footprint Re-Education Camps for SUV drivers!
These notions fail Occam’s Razor, of course. The simpler explanation is the correct one: industrial civilizations burn a lot of carbon, releasing CO2 into the atmosphere, and it’s warming the planet. A lot.
But since doing something about it would require adjusting our habits and reducing the profit margins of big oil companies, it’s easier to stay ignorant.
Our descendants won’t have that luxury.
Warren Senders
environment Politics: assholes idiots money in politics Oil Addiction petroleum
by Warren
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Year 2, Month 1, Day 30: I’ve Got To Learn To Dance If It Takes Me All Night And Day
USA Today ran an article on Carol Browner’s departure, and the diminished hopes for meaningful climate legislation from the WH. The comments, predictably, are dumb, dumb, dumb.
The departure of Carol Browner from the Obama administration is an unfortunate testimonial to the power of moneyed interests in our nation’s governance. Because changes in energy policy would be bad for the balance sheets of the world’s most profitable industry, politicians bankrolled by big oil and big coal made sure that even the 111th Congress’ relatively weak climate change legislation had no chance of passing. Lost in the fiscal and political maneuvering are the simple facts that our current petroleum dependence is unsustainable, and our planet’s atmosphere is warming faster than even the most pessimistic climate scientists predicted; catastrophic changes are on the horizon if we fail to act. Carol Browner’s mandate was to help us bring that action to pass; her failure is our failure, and the administration’s loss is a loss for all of us — and a victory for mendacity and cupidity in America’s politics.
Warren Senders
Politics: assholes idiots scientific literacy
by Warren
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Look Who’s Running The Country!
Representative Jack Kingston (R-GA) on Bill Maher’s show:
