{"id":3620,"date":"2011-07-25T00:01:22","date_gmt":"2011-07-25T04:01:22","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.warrensenders.com\/journal\/?p=3620"},"modified":"2011-07-09T13:17:52","modified_gmt":"2011-07-09T17:17:52","slug":"year-2-month-7-day-25-smoke-signals","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.warrensenders.com\/journal\/year-2-month-7-day-25-smoke-signals\/","title":{"rendered":"Year 2, Month 7, Day 25: Smoke Signals"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The July 9 edition of the Summit County Voice (CO), features <a href=\"http:\/\/summitcountyvoice.com\/2011\/07\/09\/researchers-study-role-of-wildfires-in-climate-change\/\">a good report on how scientists are studying the relationship between climate change and the wildfires that have been wreaking havoc in the American West<\/a>:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p><em>Fires are one of nature\u2019s primary carbon-cycling mechanisms, said Dr. Melita Keywood, a researcher with Australia\u2019s national research agency, the Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation.<\/p>\n<p>A press release from CSIRO highlighted some of the questions Keywood raised in a recent presentation at a gathering of geophysicists.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cUnderstanding changes in the occurrence and magnitude of fires will be an important challenge for which there needs to be a clear focus on the tools and methodologies available to scientists to predict fire occurrence in a changing climate,\u201d Keywood said.<\/p>\n<p>She said the link between long-term climate change and short-term variability in fire activity is complex, with multiple and potentially unknown feedbacks.<\/em><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Smoking is bad for your health.  Sent July 9:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>The key phrase in your report on wildfires and climate change can be found in the fifth paragraph: &#8220;the link between long-term climate change and short-term variability in fire activity is complex, with multiple and potentially unknown feedbacks.&#8221;  Both parts of this sentence deserve careful attention.  Climate denialists universally fail to understand that complicated phenomena are connected in complicated ways; their simplistic &#8220;analysis&#8221; reaches its most sophisticated level with &#8220;global warming can&#8217;t be real, because it&#8217;s cold outside.&#8221;  And those same denialists have never been able to grasp the idea of &#8220;feedbacks,&#8221; loops of causation in which the symptoms of a problem exacerbate the problem itself (what happens when you and your partner mix up the dual controls on an electric blanket?).  When a scientist uses a phrase like &#8220;multiple and potentially unknown feedbacks,&#8221; she&#8217;s giving us a very strongly worded warning: this problem has the potential to get much worse in ways we cannot yet imagine.  Welcome to the future!<\/p>\n<p>Warren Senders<\/p><\/blockquote>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The July 9 edition of the Summit County Voice (CO), features a good report on how scientists are studying the relationship between climate change and the wildfires that have been wreaking havoc in the American West: Fires are one of nature\u2019s primary carbon-cycling mechanisms, said Dr. Melita Keywood, a researcher with Australia\u2019s national research agency, [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[253,688,603],"class_list":["post-3620","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-environment","tag-denialists","tag-scientific-consensus","tag-wildfires"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.warrensenders.com\/journal\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3620","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.warrensenders.com\/journal\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.warrensenders.com\/journal\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.warrensenders.com\/journal\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.warrensenders.com\/journal\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3620"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.warrensenders.com\/journal\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3620\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3621,"href":"https:\/\/www.warrensenders.com\/journal\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3620\/revisions\/3621"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.warrensenders.com\/journal\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3620"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.warrensenders.com\/journal\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=3620"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.warrensenders.com\/journal\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=3620"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}